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http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/2012/02/28/cove-indians-


may-top-thais-and-shell/#ixzz1seOclgn1


Last week, the Thais topped the Dutch. This week, it may be 


the Indians’ turn.

Two state-run resources companies, Oil and Natural Gas


Corporation and GAIL India, may be considering bidding 


$2bn for the UK’s Cove Energy, according to the Times of 


India on Tuesday, in a move that would trump both 


Thailand’s PTT Exploration & Production’s $1.7bn bid and 


Royal Dutch Shell’s $1.6bn bid.

Analysts said that Cove would be a tricky purchase for the


 Indian companies: on one hand, they would gain for gas-


deficient India a stake in what is potentially one of the 


world’s largest gas reserves; on the other, the field is a 


deepwater project, full of technological challenges (as, 


closer to home, India’s Reliance Industries and BP have 


discovered in the Bay of Bengal).

“I don’t think it’s prudent to get into a bidding war to 


acquire it because it’s a deepwater asset and there is some 


uncertainty there,” Dikshit Mittal, analyst at SBI Capital 


Markets, told beyondbrics. “The kind of reserve they’re 


talking about is the second or third largest in the world and 


it’s deepwater so it would need huge amounts of 


investment.”
“If you see what has happened with RIL’s [Bay of Bengal] 


blocks,” he added, “initial estimates were very high and now 


it is much lower production.”

Following a report in Tuesday’s Times of India ONGC 


Videsh, the overseas arm of ONGC, India’s largest oil 


company, acknowledged in a statement that it and GAIL ,


 India’s dominant gas group, were “currently participating


 in the formal sale process announced by Cove”, but sources 


at both companies declined to elaborate.

ONGC’s release continued:

At this stage, no decis        
                        ion has been made by the Consortium

whereher to make an offer for Cove or the price at
 which any such offer may be made. Therefore, there can be 


no certainty that the Consortium will make an offer for 


Cove, or as to the terms of any offer.


The Indian bid would value Cove shares at 245 pence, well 


above state-controlled PTT Exploration’s 220p bid and 


Shell’s 195p offer – and slightly above where the shares


were trading by 10:57am UK time, at 239 pence.

Cove’s key asset, and the main reason for the bidding war, is


 its 8.5 per cent interest in Mozambique’s Rovuma offshore 


gas basin – which the operators, US-based Anadarko 


Petroleum, with a 36.5 per cent working interest, have 


dubbed “one of the most important natural 


gasfieldsdiscovered in the last 10 years”.

The Indian consortium could join two other Indian 


companies – state-owned Bharat Petroleum and privately 


owned Videocon Industries, which each already have a 10 


per cent stake in the field
.
Venugopal Dhoot, chairman of Videocon Industries, told the 


Times of India he thinks it could make India major players 


in the field: “If ONGC comes in, Indian companies will hold 


28.5 per cent and will have more say in the gigantic gas 


find. It will provide us economies of scale.”

The market took news in their stride. Cove shares rose 1.70 


per cent by 11:08am, while shares in ONGC and GAIL closed 


up 0.84 per cent and 0.71 per cent, respectively. But it’s clear


 that the battle for Cove is far from over. It may have only 


just begun.

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